UK Summer Forecast 2020 – Final forecast

Within our UK summer forecast for 2020 we look at a range of variables, teleconnections, historical data and seasonal models to gain a wider range of knowledge which helps build the UK summer forecast together. We will be going through these step by step with various updates in the coming weeks. Summer 2020 final forecast: Welcome to the final summer forecast for 2020. Within this forecast will be using seasonal model data along with the usual teleconnections and also our own forecast charts which we compile using historical data. Before we start though please remember that to forecast so far ahead specifically is impossible, we are only dealing with projected patterns and there are and will be many unknowns going […]

Locked In Polar Vortex To Blame For UK Flooding?

This winter has for the most part been dominated by an active zonal flow which in essence means the weather has come from the west and as most of you will know when this occurs, wet and windy weather will be the main feature in such a flow.   This flow has unfortunately led to floods across the UK with these certainly more apparent recently especially across parts of Wales and the Midlands. Our own re-analysis highlights the fact that many western areas have indeed been far wetter than is the norm.   So the question for many will be why? Why has the pattern been so dominant? For the answer we have to look way up in the stratosphere. […]